husakorid

Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

Share this post

Nobody can forecast the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With as much as date news and a little however feisty 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to address humanity's most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain numerous pushing questions that are less simple to determine. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be much better at predicting the future (and have seen some intriguing enhancements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

For more updates from the AI world register for my newsletter!

Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following questions to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have seen prediction enhancements from our training, utilize these estimates for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta aspect in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...

First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been encouraging of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are delighted, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially given comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.

I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the chances and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, considering all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.

Alright, I'm trying to figure out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the relocation. The article points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise require to think about the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are aware of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than five appears like a significant number but possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it numerous times, particularly if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears considerable since it shows he's done it previously, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That might indicate he's less most likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's also involved in a fight with Drake, which might give him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement suit from Drake, so possibly he's mindful about consisting of any controversial tunes in the performance. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, library.kemu.ac.ke Lamar might feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a threat that such material might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making bold proceed huge stages. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might provide him more creative liberty. Plus, his past behavior suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, existing shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the possibility appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Appears like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to trigger offense and that he in fact discovered it funny himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which may show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Taking a look at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and loves cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who takes pleasure in eating, specifically with his group. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, wiki.rolandradio.net especially if the scenario is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 incredibly bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can happen when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic data that may affect this prediction.

First, I go through the short articles provided. They all point out the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually come up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a huge difference.

However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is usually considered random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making predictions, sometimes people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I should think about whether this historic bias ought to influence the probability.

After considering it, I decide that while the historic data reveals a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists however doesn't override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably believe the same. BUT, its official now since our AI states the possibilities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, disgaeawiki.info so I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that discuss conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable hire current games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ludicrous." They say there's no proof of organized predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may mean there's no real basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some reality to it.

Looking at the short articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that analytical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more since 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting special treatment, you might expect fewer charges, right?

...

So, putting everything together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't rule out every possibility, however very not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the video game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.